By Bob Stokes
5/14/2012 5:30:00 PM
During Q1 of 2012, trading on the New York Stock Exchange was down 23 percent vs. last year. But if many individual investors have stayed out of the market, how has the S&P 500 more than doubled? Moreover, what do we see ahead?...
Filed Under: banks, credit default swaps, Elliott wave, financial forecast, investment decisions, investor psychology, liquidity, risk appetite, Robert Prechter, stock indexes
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
5/7/2012 5:15:00 PM
Who else was saying way ahead of time that trouble was brewing for Green Mountain? Dear reader, here's what's important to know now: We're seeing other divergences for the major stock indexes that the "buy the dip" crowd is apparently not aware of...
Filed Under: coffee futures, Elliott wave, financial forecast, investment strategy, technical indicators, Traders
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
5/3/2012 5:00:00 PM
Markets don't always conform to seasonal biases -- not even to the well known "Sell in May and go away." Still, an investor might do well to consider the market's seasonal tendencies. So it is with stock market cycles...
Filed Under: Elliott wave, financial forecast, Robert Prechter, stock market cycles, U.S. STOCK MARKET
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
5/2/2012 4:30:00 PM
What a way to kick off May: the Dow Industrials close at a four-year high and three icons of the 1990s bull market basically say we've only just begun. Is investor psychology too optimistic?...
Filed Under: Dow Industrials, Elliott wave, financial forecast, herding, investor psychology, market forecasts, monetary policy
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
4/9/2012 4:45:00 PM
Some market participants are saying that the correction may have a little more to go, yet they also think a pullback will be shallow and the market will soon continue its climb. In other words: the quotes above represent the language and market sentiment of the 1990s. We know how that decade turned out...
Filed Under: Dow Industrials, financial forecast, history, investor psychology, mania, Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, sentiment, Short Term Update
Category: Stocks
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/30/2012 6:15:00 PM
It's been three years since March 2009, when our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast turned bullish on the Asian-Pacific region. Most emerging markets in Asia have since then continued to support that bullish view: Many regional stock indexes have advanced in the impulsive Elliott wave pattern we expected. Of course, markets do go through periods of regress. How soon should you expect one to begin -- if at all? The April 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast gives you a specific answer on page 1.
Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, BRIC, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Education, emerging markets, financial forecast, Indian markets, momentum, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis, volume
Category: Asian Markets
By Bob Stokes
3/28/2012 3:45:00 PM
Today's market is showing similar vital signs to late 2007. Does that mean stocks are headed for a repeat now?...
Filed Under: breadth, Elliott wave, financial forecast, momentum, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), S&P 500
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
3/22/2012 6:00:00 PM
Our Financial Forecast has said for years that the bailouts and the European Union itself would come to grief, even as other observers were optimistic. Here's a case in point...
Filed Under: Club EWI, euro, euro stoxx 50, european central bank, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Category: U.S. Economy
A 13-Year Trend Channel Line In Gold Sends A Clear Message
Our February Elliott Wave Finanical Forecast presents a compelling chart of a channel line in gold that goes back to 1999.
By Nico Isaac
2/28/2012 4:00:00 PM
Hedge funds love it. Housewives love it. And now, pooch hounds love it. On February 26, the world's fascination with gold reached unchartered "terrier"-tory when the scene-stealing Uggie the Jack Russell dog from "The Artist" sported an 18-carat gold bone-shaped tag to the 84th Academy Awards. So, as demand for gold continues to soar, the question is: Will gold prices do the same?
Filed Under: bailouts, bull market, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, europe, European debt crisis, financial forecast, fundamental analysis, Gold, Greek debt, precious metals
Category: Gold and Silver
By Bob Stokes
2/22/2012 5:15:00 PM
Here's an irony: while recent news reports were upbeat about the decline in unemployment (to 8.3 percent), Wall Street bonuses were being downsized. Is Main Street next?...
Filed Under: financial forecast, Wall Street
Category: U.S. Economy
By Bob Stokes
2/10/2012 6:00:00 PM
What is the "single most reliable indicator of an impending change of direction for a market"? Read what Robert Prechter has to say...
Filed Under: Elliott Wave Theorist, financial forecast, S&P 500, sentiment, Short Term Update
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
2/8/2012 5:15:00 PM
See the chart that addresses the inflation vs. deflation debate. Then, read the analysis...
Filed Under: deflation, Elliott Wave Theorist, financial forecast, inflation, rate of change
Category: U.S. Economy
By Bob Stokes
2/7/2012 5:00:00 PM
Take note: there's an eerie similarity between what is developing economically today and what happened from 1929-1933...
Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Ben Bernanke, deflation, economic depression, financial forecast, unemployment
Category: U.S. Economy
By Bob Stokes
2/6/2012 2:30:00 PM
A bullish consensus appears to be crystallizing. But that doesn't mean one should take a contrarian view for its own sake. One must look at the entire market picture, and ask, "Where are we in the market's main trend?" and "What are other indicators revealing?" We've asked and answered those questions...
Filed Under: bull market, Elliott Wave Theorist, financial forecast, herding, investor psychology, sentiment, Short Term Update
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
2/3/2012 5:30:00 PM
Should investors be concerned over too much Facebook excitement? Consider that the IPO filing comes after...
Filed Under: Elliott Wave Theorist, financial forecast, investor psychology, risk appetite, S&P 500, sentiment, Wall Street
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
1/26/2012 5:15:00 PM
Even as prices rallied, the percentage of S&P 500 stocks below their 10-week moving average indicates the advance has been weaker than many investors may realize. Take a look at the chart...
Filed Under: breadth, Elliott Wave Theorist, financial forecast, S&P 500, Short Term Update, technical analysis, technical indicators
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
1/20/2012 4:45:00 PM
Investors believe municipal bonds are safe, but the evidence suggests that a change for the worse is underway. That evidence includes...
Filed Under: financial forecast, municipal bonds, mutual funds, pension funds
Category: U.S. Economy
By Bob Stokes
1/19/2012 3:15:00 PM
Professional money managers are supposed to have more investment savvy than the average mutual fund shareholder. Yet some recent evidence suggests that the "investor next door" is wiser than the professionals...
Filed Under: cash, financial forecast, risk appetite, stock indexes
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
1/18/2012 2:00:00 PM
Given that the Oracle of Omaha is buying back Berkshire shares, could that be a sign that this time is different -- that we're heading into a rip-roaring bull market?
Filed Under: bull market, cash, financial forecast, U.S. STOCK MARKET
Category: Stocks
By Bob Stokes
1/9/2012 6:00:00 PM
Companies favored by the conventional wisdom as good for the long run may not even live to see the "long run," let alone perform well along the way. In the just published January Financial Forecast, you'll see a chart of a well-known "blue chip" which appears to be ready for a "meltdown"...
Filed Under: buy and hold, Dow Industrials, Elliott Wave Theorist, financial forecast, Gold
Category: Stocks