By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/14/2012 3:30:00 PM
The European single currency, the euro, was introduced in 1999. Today its report card -- and that of the eurozone -- looks impressive. Why, then, is the euro also quickly becoming one of the most suspect currencies in the world?
Filed Under: Elliott Wave trading, Elliott wave, European Union (EU), euro, euro stoxx 50, eurozone, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, socionomics
Category: Global Markets
By Nico Isaac
5/4/2012 6:00:00 PM
It’s been two years since the sovereign debt crisis crashed onto the European shores. And, despite 1-plus trillion euros in emergency bailout loans, the region’s economy has -- as my British friends would say -- “gone pear-shaped.” So, is this what rock bottom feels like?
Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/2/2012 4:15:00 PM
The euro's slow upward grind from the April 15 low of near $1.31 ended with a bang on May 1. The violent decline that started that day and continued on May 2 very quickly -- as it usually happens -- erased almost all of the gains from the two-week rally. The move has been widely blamed on "European debt crisis worries." Of course...
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/1/2012 9:15:00 AM
To continue the "global investments" theme started by the recent interview with EWI's Asian-Pacific analyst about the markets in India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Indonesia, I also sat down with our own Brian Whitmer, EWI's European stock market analyst. -- Brian, these days it's easier than ever to get exposure to global markets, especially given the explosion in ETFs. But there are too many markets to focus on, and too many opinions about them. You chose Elliott wave analysis as your market-forecasting method. Why Elliott? Why not just watch the news, like most investors? Brian Whitmer: To be successful in the market, you need...
Filed Under: AEX, bailouts, Bank of England, brian whitmer, CAC40, DAX, debt crisis, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis
Category: Global Markets
By Bob Stokes
4/27/2012 4:00:00 PM
Shortly after the fourteenth European debt crisis summit concluded and there was an "extraordinary shift from negativity to optimism," the November 2011 Global Market Perspective flatly said "The current level of unpayable debt is too big to bail." Yet financial journalists and many of the economists they interview have been busy talking about rising markets and recovering economies. Some were even saying that Europe's debt crisis was "under control." It seems not...
Filed Under: debt downgrade, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Greek debt, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Short Term Update, soverign debt crisis
Category: European Markets
By Nathaniel Williams
4/23/2012 2:15:00 PM
Here's an example of how EWI helps you see what's going to happen financially in Europe before it happens: Just five days after our analyst published his analysis last year, showing that Portugal was on the threshold of needing a bailout, Portugal's government officially requested a bailout. One month later, it got one.
Filed Under: bailouts, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/3/2012 2:30:00 PM
Here's a paradox for you. On Monday (April 2), unemployment in the 17 euro nations reached a record high of 10.8% -- highest ever since the euro was introduced in 1999. Reports say eurozone manufacturing activity had fallen to a 3-month low. The words "Eurozone recession" are being muttered. Meanwhile, the latest U.S. employment and manufacturing reports have been strong. You'd think the euro would be crushed -- but no. Why?
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, technical indicators, trading lessons, U.S. dollar, unemployment
Category: Currencies
By Nico Isaac
3/30/2012 6:30:00 PM
Let's hear it for European equities. The major stock markets across the pond saw their best first-quarter winning streak since 2006. And while many experts are waiting to see how the markets deal with Europe's austerity measures -- the April 2012 European Financial Forecast lets the cat out the bag: "European Stocks Have Already Signaled" their next move. Take note, because this is what it feels like to watch history in the making.
Filed Under: AEX, banks, CAC40, DAX, debt, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Greek debt, inflation, Swiss Market Index (SMI)
Category: European Markets
By Bob Stokes
3/22/2012 6:00:00 PM
Our Financial Forecast has said for years that the bailouts and the European Union itself would come to grief, even as other observers were optimistic. Here's a case in point...
Filed Under: Club EWI, euro, euro stoxx 50, european central bank, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Category: U.S. Economy
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/4/2012 11:45:00 AM
When you look at a long-term chart of Europe's four main stock indexes --- the DAX, FTSE-100, CAC-40 and EuroStoxx 50 -- you notice one striking detail: Since at least 2000, every prolonged stock market rally turned out to be a set-up for another devastating crash. This fact is obvious when you glance at the opening chart of EWI's new, March 2012 European Financial Forecast. Of course, European stocks have rallied strongly off their 2009 lows, too. What should you make of this?
Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, debt crisis, debt downgrade, economic depression, Elliott wave, euro, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Greek debt, investment decisions, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis, technical indicators
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/22/2012 2:00:00 PM
The February 21 agreement to bail out Greece came and went -- and investors are left wondering. Many think they need to weigh all the possible effects (good and bad) which this new development may have on the stock market. These headlines capture the uncertainty...
Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), Greek debt, S&P 500, social mood
Category: Stocks
Do Try This at Home!
The most helpful socionomic forecasts are the ones that no other method anticipates.
By Paul DeBoer
2/6/2012 10:00:00 AM
Socionomic insight is an astonishing tool that can be used to demystify markets. See what is in the latest Socionomist that can help guide you through the changes in the markets and can be incorporated into other areas of your life.
Filed Under: euro, European Union (EU), social mood, socionomics
Category: Socionomics
Greek Stocks Surge 21%: How to Be Prepared for the Next "Surprise" out of Greece
Elliott Wave International's European Short Term Update explains why the latest rally in Greece's FT-ASE was a predictable event -- without the news or "fundamentals."
By Nathaniel Williams
2/2/2012 12:00:00 PM
Here at EWI, our analysts don't forecast based on the whims of the financial news or "fundamentals", because we know from observing market behavior for over 30 years that news and events are not the markets' driving force. Instead, we study price chart patterns -- a method we've found much more reliable at predicting trend changes. Let me show you an example using the latest stock rally in Greece.
Filed Under: bailouts, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Greek debt
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/8/2012 11:00:00 PM
Since August 2011, the FTSE 100 has rallied in a series of three-wave structures. The FTSE Small Cap Index recorded lower lows in both October and November. The DAX’s retracement high this past fall was a Fibonacci 61.8% of its previous decline. Rallies were weaker in the CAC 40 and Eurostoxx 50, as both indexes have retraced about 50% of their respective sell-offs. Get the detailed analysis of these observations -- and our forecasts -- in the opening section of the January 2012 European Financial Forecast.
Filed Under: Bank of England, Bear market, Elliott wave, euro, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, technical analysis, technical indicators
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/22/2011 5:45:00 PM
At EWI, our main forecasting tool is Elliott wave analysis. But our analysts also use a number of other, supporting technical indicators. Keltner Channels are one of the favorite technical analysis tools the editor of our European Short Term Update Chris Carolan uses. Watch this free video for more >>
Filed Under: AEX, bailouts, CAC40, DAX, Elliott wave, eu, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, technical analysis, technical indicators, trading lessons, video
Category: European Markets
By Nathaniel Williams
12/16/2011 5:15:00 PM
Credit rating agencies can upgrade or downgrade their ratings of financial institutions, but they don't determine the safety of those institutions -- the market does. An EU crackdown wouldn't change the market's underlying reality.
Filed Under: europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone
Category: European Markets
By Bob Stokes
12/12/2011 5:30:00 PM
Will the EU agreement prove bullish or bearish for world stock markets, including the Dow Industrials? Let's put it this way...
Filed Under: bailouts, banks, Dow Industrials, Elliott Wave Principle, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), Fannie Mae, stimulus package, U.S. STOCK MARKET
Category: Stocks
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/5/2011 5:00:00 PM
Every recent stock rally in Europe ignites the hope that the worst of the debt crisis is finally over. Yet every mini-crash that follows mocks those hopes once again... and again... We watched ups and downs like these in 2007-2009, too.
Filed Under: bailouts, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, economic depression, Elliott wave, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, soverign debt crisis, Swiss Market Index (SMI)
Category: European Markets
By Paul DeBoer
12/2/2011 2:00:00 PM
How many European bankers does it take to change a light bulb? That's a joke in search of an answer, but EWI's European analyst Brian Whitmer explained five months ago that the "light bulb moment" was coming -- that’s the time when most people would clearly recognize the severity of the European debt crisis. He offered this spot-on analysis back in July 2011, before the larger world came to know recently how bad things really are in the eurozone.
Filed Under: european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Greek debt
Category: European Markets
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/28/2011 10:00:00 PM
Try this. Look back at any day's news and compare it with the forex market action that followed. It's easy to reconcile the two, isn't it? You can almost always find a reason in the news why the markets did what they did. For example, EUR/USD...
Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, technical indicators, trading lessons, U.S. dollar
Category: Currencies